OPINION Review: Predict to Profit

Opinion Trade is an innovative platform enabling users to trade opinions on real-world events. This OPINION Review highlights its core features, including intuitive market creation, transparent payouts, and gamified forecasting. While it offers new ways to monetize insights and improve prediction accuracy, the platform faces challenges around regulation, transparency, and responsible user engagement. Overall, Opinion Trade represents a bold step toward mainstream, user-driven prediction markets.

What is OPINION?

OPINION introduces a new class of financial infrastructure that transforms macroeconomic data, predictions, and news into standardized, tradable assets. By combining proprietary on-chain architecture, AI-driven oracles, and intuitive trading tools, the platform allows both retail and institutional users to directly express and monetize economic beliefs—such as inflation trends or central bank decisions—without relying on indirect proxy instruments.

This innovation addresses long-standing inefficiencies in macro trading by providing clean, transparent exposure to economic outcomes. Beyond enabling access, OPINION’s ecosystem aims to redefine global forecasting through decentralized market intelligence, bridging traditional finance and DeFi to create a new paradigm of “InfoFi” — where information itself becomes a liquid, democratized asset.

OPINION Review: Problem and Solution

Macroeconomic trading today is limited to institutional players and indirect instruments. Retail investors rely on proxies like gold, bonds, or crypto—assets that add noise and complexity.

OPINION solves this by introducing a prediction exchange that allows users to trade macro indicators directly, providing pure exposure to economic outcomes. This makes sophisticated financial tools accessible to everyone.

OPINION Review: The Future of Economic Intelligence

OPINION marks the fourth major evolution in crypto — progressing from Bitcoin’s monetary infrastructure to DeFi’s financial accessibility, to RWA’s asset democratization, and now to InfoFi’s information democratization. This new paradigm transforms data itself into a tradeable asset, building an ecosystem where economic intelligence arises from market mechanisms, not institutional intermediaries.

By enabling anyone to directly trade on key macro indicators such as CPI, interest rates, and employment data, OPINION introduces a new financial primitive—one that converts insights into measurable, market-validated value.

This evolution signals the dawn of a democratic forecasting era, powered by collective intelligence, on-chain transparency, and the forces of open markets—creating a more efficient, inclusive, and data-driven global economy.

Also, you may read Top 5 Crypto Prediction Markets

OPINION Review: Trade on OPINION

Connect with Web3 wallet

1. Choose a Wallet

If you already have a crypto wallet installed in your browser or device, the supported options will appear automatically.
Select your preferred wallet — the app will then prompt you to connect it to OPINION

2. Supported Wallets

• Binance Wallet
• OKX Wallet
• MetaMask
• Backpack
• Coinbase Wallet

3. Sign In

After selecting your wallet, you’ll be asked to approve the connection.
Once connected, the app will request you to sign a message — this confirms your identity securely and allows you to log in to the platform.

Your wallet remains fully under your control — OPINION only verifies ownership through signature, without ever accessing your private keys.

Connect with Social Account

Connect your Google or X account to opinion.trade

Trade on Prediction Market

Understanding market prices

Prices on OPINION represent the market-implied probability of an event occurring, derived from real-time trading activity.

Example

Consider the market:
“Will the US FOMC keep the interest rate unchanged?”

• If ‘Yes’ shares are priced at $0.65, this implies a 65% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged.
• If ‘Yes’ shares trade at $0.10, the market is signaling only a 10% likelihood of no rate change.

You can also take the opposite side by trading ‘No’ shares, which represent the probability of the event not happening.
For example, if ‘No’ shares are priced at $0.80, traders believe there’s an 80% chance that the FOMC will change the interest rate.

How to Profit

A trader who believes there’s more than a 65% chance the FOMC will keep rates unchanged can buy ‘Yes’ shares at $0.65. If the Fed makes no change, the shares settle at $1, yielding a $0.35 profit per share—a 53.85% return.

If the outcome is “No,” those shares settle at $0.You don’t have to wait for the final decision to take profit. For example, you could buy ‘Yes’ shares at $0.20 and later sell them for $0.70 if market sentiment shifts—realizing your gains before the event concludes.

Also, you may read 5 Best Crypto Interest-Earning Platforms in the USA

Start Trading

1. Choosing a Market

Finding a market on opinion.trade is simple.
Visit the Markets page to view all available events. You can use filters, sorting tools, or the search bar to find markets that match your interests.

2. Buying Shares

After selecting a market, click on it to open the details page.
You’ll see a price chart, market rules, and current odds to guide your decision.
To place a trade:

1. Choose your outcome — typically “Yes” or “No.”
2. Enter the amount you want to invest.
3. Click Buy to confirm your order.

Once your trade is executed, you’ll receive a confirmation message.
Congratulations — you’ve made your first trade on opinion.trade!

You can sell your position anytime before the market closes at the current market price, allowing you to lock in profits or limit losses early.

OPINION Review: Profit and Loss

Profit and Loss (P&L) represents the potential gains or losses from your open positions.
It continuously fluctuates as market prices change relative to your average entry price, showing whether your trades are currently in profit or at a loss.

On opinion.trade, a user’s position reflects the sum of all completed trades—whether increasing, reducing, or closing a stake—consolidated by market.
P&L is calculated from the difference between the entry price and the current market (or oracle) price, multiplied by the position size.
You can view your P&L in dollars or as a percentage.

Unrealised P&L (uP&L)

Unrealised P&L shows your potential profit or loss on open positions, based on current market prices.
It’s calculated as:

(Current Value − Total Buy-in Cost)
or equivalently,
(Last Price − Average Buy-in Price) × Quantity Held

As market prices move, this value updates in real time.

Net Worth

Your net worth on the platform equals the current market value of all open positions plus your available balance—providing a complete snapshot of your trading account at any given moment.

Also, you may read How to earn Profit in Crypto using a Price Oscillator?

OPINION Review: Fees

At OPINION, trading fees are designed to strengthen market health rather than act as a simple cost. They ensure liquidity, sustainability, and accurate price discovery. Our fee model aligns incentives across traders—rewarding conviction, discouraging noise, and supporting active participation. By doing so, fees help create a fair, efficient, and transparent prediction marketplace.

Overview

Fees apply only to takers—those who execute market orders immediately—while makers who place resting limit orders trade fee-free. The fee rate ranges from 0% to 2%, with higher fees when market uncertainty peaks around 50% probability and lower fees near 0% or 100%. A $5 minimum order and $0.50 minimum fee apply. All fees are denominated in the settlement asset, such as USDT, and stackable discounts can reduce costs by up to 100%, excluding the minimum fee.

Also, you may read How to Predict Cryptocurrency Selloffs?

Fees Curve

OPINION uses a dynamic fee curve that reflects market uncertainty in real time. Trades made near 0% or 100% probability—where outcomes are more certain—have the lowest fees. Fees increase as prices approach 50%, where uncertainty and trading activity are highest. This symmetric curve, shaped by the formula price × (1 − price), ensures fairness and accuracy across all price levels.

Operational Safeguards

To ensure smooth trading, OPINION covers on-chain gas fees for trade matches and settlements. Low-frequency actions may include small, user-paid gas costs. Minimum thresholds prevent inefficiency and network spam: a $5 minimum order, $0.50 minimum fee, and $5 minimum withdrawal. These safeguards maintain system stability while ensuring every trade remains efficient and economically meaningful.

OPINION Review: Point System (PTS)

The OPINION Point System (PTS) rewards users who actively shape markets through informed participation and liquidity provision.
Your actions—trading, providing liquidity, and contributing to price discovery—directly impact your points and future incentives.
PTS helps you:

• Develop profitable prediction strategies
• Earn incentives for quality insights
• Contribute to the gold standard of prediction data

As the platform grows, your points reflect your share in its success. Early participants earn higher multipliers, making early engagement especially valuable.

How to Qualify & Earn

Minimum Requirement

To participate, maintain at least $200 in total trading volume on mainnet.

Three Main Ways to Earn Points

1. Limit Orders (Liquidity Provision)
   • The closer your order is to current market odds, the larger the size, and the longer it remains active — the more points you earn.
   • Orders above $10 USDT qualify as liquidity provision.
   • Providing liquidity generally earns more points than market orders.
2. Trading Activity
   • Larger trades earn proportionally more points.
   • Designed to reward conviction and meaningful market impact.
3. Position Holding
   • Earn ongoing rewards for maintaining open positions over time.
   • Points scale with both duration and token quantity.
   • Multipliers may vary across markets.

Also, you may read What are Real-World Asset Tokens?

OPINION Review: Referral Program

The Opinion Referral Program rewards users for growing the community through direct invitations. Once you reach $1,000 in total trading volume, you can generate your own referral code and invite link to share with friends, communities, or followers.

Invited users enjoy up to 10% trading fee discounts, while both parties may receive bonus points or additional incentives based on ongoing campaigns. All rewards are settled in real time, with no limits on how many users you can refer. By inviting others to trade on opinion.trade, you help expand the ecosystem while earning valuable rewards and future incentive boosts.

Conclusion

OPINION is pioneering a new era of prediction markets — transforming economic data, forecasts, and insights into tradeable assets. Through features like direct macro trading, the Point System (PTS), transparent fees, and a fair referral program, the platform empowers users to participate in shaping global economic intelligence. Every trade, prediction, and contribution adds value to a transparent, data-driven ecosystem. As the platform evolves, OPINION aims to make information itself a liquid asset — building the foundation for a truly democratic and intelligent financial future.

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